Foot-and-mouth Disease Spread in This Small World
نویسنده
چکیده
Foot-and-mouth disease appeared as devastating storms that swept UK and Taiwan in recent epidemics. Many observations attributed these disasters to the extensive countrywide movements of animals, and the intensive nature of the livestock industry. However, there is no mathematical model incorporating these two factors in its framework. In this project, we combined formal analytical models, Artificial Life, and small-world networks to build a simulation model trying to define these causative factors explicitly, and found that high density farming and long-distance transportation could not only greatly facilitate the virus transmission, but also assisted the specific adaptation of Foot-and-Mouth Disease virus in Taiwan evolving an extremely short incubation period.
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